Two signs suggest the stock market is nearing a significant inflection that could tell us if the sell-off is about to get much worse.

What bulls do not want to see, is when the long bonds (which have turned around) outperform both the S&P 500 and the Junk Bonds. 

Momentum stocks are leading the market higher, but this is much different leadership than what elevated the market in 2024.

In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question, will the department of government efficiency cause markets to crash or soar?

First Trust Advisors launches three new Target Income ETFs utilizing option strategies to boost income while maintaining fixed-income exposure.

The core PCE price index isn‘t going to be a game changer, but the way it came in at 0.1% only, will provide some relief to risk assets.

Negotiated tariffs solution, or greater melee ahead as Trump admin is taking on the trade deficit?

S&P 500 though didn‘t reach the 6,035 support area after breaking below the low 6,070s – where does that and yields‘ unwillingness to follow in the Fed‘s preferred path leave us?

The S&P 500 pushed for all-time highs twice over this past week, but thanks to weakness in the semiconductors, a large amount of defensive sectoral positioning kicked in that not even the financial sector could overcome.

Since my minimum downside target was met on Monday, the response by the bulls appeared to be solid across the major stock market indices, as all of them rallied rather smartly.

The QQQ chart on the weekly basis is still in a bullish phase. 

S&P 500 early session upswing was rejected, and neither 6,010 or low 5,990s stopped the sellers.

In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to answer the question: Stocks in 2025—normal volatility or the start of something much worse?

S&P 500 could have put a local bottom on Dec 31, but instead, we had to wait for today when we got the clear 5,930 breakdown and intraday reversal in relation to market breadth developments.

In this video, I review the overall market. I also provide two new swing positions, along with my exact game plan for Monday's session.

S&P 500 followed the path I foresaw ahead of FOMC, a brief dip bought, and then positioning for a relief rally to continue.

The Federal Reserve's final meeting of the year has historically caused significant moves in 20 ETFs. A rate cut is expected, but the focus is on the Fed's forward guidance and projections.

S&P 500 shook off weak Empire State manufacturing, and correctly focused on surging services PMI instead of marginally down manufacturing PMI.

S&P 500 pushed for new ATHs early in the session, but was rejected, and the premarket session is shallow and cautious.

TLTs cleared the 50 and 200 daily moving averages. This is interesting as the 2 MAs also had a death cross.

A look at the oil chart in light of yesterday‘s important WTIC move.

As risk-taking builds and is rewarded by higher prices, risk-taking morphs into more extreme speculation. For example, the surge of capital into 3x Leveraged S&P 500 ETFs has been remarkable.

Stocks finished the day mostly higher, with the S&P 500 advancing by roughly 0.50% and the Nasdaq 100 up about 0.25%.

Still elusive Bitcoin correction coupled with flows into my key sectors on that day‘s watch, is what drove the switch to long bias almost into the closing bell.

Looking at gold, it underperforms SPY. Looking at silver, it remains an underperformer to gold at this point (also risk on for equities).